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Author Topic: Oh what a difference 5 years makes
The Famous Druid

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Icon 1 posted April 18, 2012 09:30      Profile for The Famous Druid     Send New Private Message       Edit/Delete Post   Reply With Quote 
The iPhone is nothing more than a luxury bauble that will appeal to a few gadget freaks... ...Apple will sell a few to its fans, but the iPhone won't make a long-term mark on the industry.

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If you watch 'The History Of NASA' backwards, it's about a space agency that has no manned spaceflight capability, then does low-orbit flights, then lands on the Moon.

Posts: 10313 | From: Melbourne, Australia | Registered: Oct 2002  |  IP: Logged
TheMoMan
BlabberMouth, a Blabber Odyssey
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Icon 1 posted April 18, 2012 10:03      Profile for TheMoMan         Edit/Delete Post   Reply With Quote 
MAJOR FAIL

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If it don't glow it ain't Ham Radio

Posts: 5073 | From: Just South of the Huron National Forest, in the water shed of the Rifle River | Registered: Sep 2002  |  IP: Logged
Ugh, MightyClub
BlabberMouth, the Next Generation
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Icon 1 posted April 18, 2012 13:44      Profile for Ugh, MightyClub     Send New Private Message       Edit/Delete Post   Reply With Quote 
Mmmm, claim chowder!

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Ugh!

Posts: 1613 | From: Ithaca, NY | Registered: Dec 2004  |  IP: Logged
dragonman97

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Icon 1 posted April 18, 2012 20:15      Profile for dragonman97   Author's Homepage     Send New Private Message       Edit/Delete Post   Reply With Quote 
/me skimmed it.

Honestly, there are plenty of fair points in it...and one biggie - when it came out, it was EXPENSIVE.

I CBA to research it, but I seem to recall it was nearly a year or two later before the price dropped to ~$200. $500 for a phone in the US is insane, especially when you add the data plan. It's still insane w/a lower initial cost, but I'm quite unwilling to spend an absurd amount of money per month for a phone.

OTOH, my iPod Touch is fantastic, and does a lot of great things for me.

Back to the iPhone - I'm seem to recall it really took off after the price fell. Apple definitely sold far more iPhones than initially anticipated, but back then, Blackberry was still a big player, and few folks could fathom not using one for business. Now, it seems almost every sales/account rep I deal with has one.

Also...back when the iPhone came out, "Apps" didn't exist. The notion of iPhone as overglorified iPod was quite sound then. While the native functionality of the first iPhone still exists in today's iPhone, and is relevant, the persistent development that Apple pursued and implemented in subsequent releases brought them to where there are today. OTOH, Blackberry got lazy and just slapped on doodads without making compelling improvements. (Kind of like GM!)

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There are three things you can be sure of in life: Death, taxes, and reading about fake illnesses online...

Posts: 9039 | From: Westchester County, New York | Registered: May 2001  |  IP: Logged
The Famous Druid

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Icon 1 posted April 19, 2012 17:16      Profile for The Famous Druid     Send New Private Message       Edit/Delete Post   Reply With Quote 
@dman: yes, I would have agreed with a lot of the article 5 years ago. I was pretty sceptical about the whole 'smartphone' thing, (and, later, the iPad) and really just wanted a phone that was, well, a **phone**. Today, you'd have to pry my iPhone from my cold, dead hands.

I just thought the article was a good example of...
1. The perils of prediction in the tech market.
2. How precarious the position of 'top dog' is in the tech market. 5 years ago, it was Motorola, Nokia, and Blackberry, today all 3 of those are looking pretty battered and bruised, while the new dogs on the block (Apple, Samsung, HTC) strut their stuff, who will be top dog in 5 years time?

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If you watch 'The History Of NASA' backwards, it's about a space agency that has no manned spaceflight capability, then does low-orbit flights, then lands on the Moon.

Posts: 10313 | From: Melbourne, Australia | Registered: Oct 2002  |  IP: Logged
TheMoMan
BlabberMouth, a Blabber Odyssey
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Icon 1 posted April 19, 2012 19:54      Profile for TheMoMan         Edit/Delete Post   Reply With Quote 
Good Question.

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If it don't glow it ain't Ham Radio

Posts: 5073 | From: Just South of the Huron National Forest, in the water shed of the Rifle River | Registered: Sep 2002  |  IP: Logged


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